vendredi 7 mai 2010

Un avenir noir pour l'Afrique du sud

Un Sud-Africain sans avenir.


La fin de régime de développement séparé en Afrique du sud avait été saluée de manière unanime par l'opinion publique et les gouvernants des pays occidentaux.

Seuls quelques mauvais coucheurs à l'émotivité échaudée par une expérience vécue du continent africain osaient émettre quelques doutes quant à la viabilité à long terme de l'expérience.

Le désastre en Rhodésie a servi de signal d'alarme. Mais la plupart des commentateurs persistent à rendre responsable de la situation la mégalomanie du président de ce pays, sans chercher à identifier d'autres causes, plus incommodes pour le politiquement correct.

Les derniers chiffres rendus publics par l'Institut sud-africain de relations raciales (South African Institute of Race Relations ou SAIRR) révèlent qu'entre 1995 et 2005, près d'un sud-africain blanc sur cinq a quitté le pays. Un million d'Européens, principalement des jeunes adultes et des enfants, ont émigré vers des cieux plus cléments.

Selon les démographes, rien ne peut arrêter cette tendance et à terme, la population blanche en Afrique australe se composera de personnes âgées, de marginaux (voir le reportage photo), d'une poignée de jusqu'au boutistes afrikaaner et d'expatriés de luxe.

Cette évolution va avoir des conséquences graves pour l'économie. les Blancs constituent la principale ressource de recettes fiscales du pays et le réservoir de spécialistes indispensables au fonctionnement d'une société développée.

A titre d'exemple, les diplômés noirs sont une minorité dans les matières mathématiques et techniques dont l'industrie a besoin.

Les raisons citées par les démographes pour expliquer l'émigration blanche sont en premier lieu le crime et les violences commises par les Noirs contre les Blancs (c'est notamment les cas dans les régions rurales) et, en second lieu, la discrimination à rebours qui pénalise les Européens au profit des Africains.

Si l'exemple des autres pays africains peut éclairer l'avenir, les Africains préfèrent chasser les Blancs même au prix d'une baisse de leur niveau de vie. Il est donc probable que dans une vingtaine d'années, le miracle de l'Afrique du sud prendra fin et que ce pays rejoindra le lot commun des autres pays africains.

Combien d'années faudra-t-il aux beaux esprits occidentaux pour comprendre que le fameux miracle de l'Afrique australe n'était pas seulement dû à son climat ?



Johannesburg - One million white South Africans - almost a fifth - have left the country in the past ten years.

This figure was released last week in a report from the South African Institute of Race Relations (SAIRR).
Frans Cronjé, who compiled the report, said it was especially crime and affirmative action which had driven a fifth of South Africa's white population out of the country.
He did an analysis of Statistics South Africa's Household Surveys between 1995 and 2005, emigration figures and other reliable estimates on population numbers.
Cronjé said the results left himself and his colleagues dumbfounded.
"When we drew the graphs we saw that almost a whole generation of white South Africans are not here anymore."
Young people, children leaving
The SAIRR's population pyramid of white South Africans show a definite loss of young people and children under the age of ten.
The figures for 2005 put the number of white South Africans in the country at 4.3 million, 841 000 fewer than the 5.2 million of 1995.
Cronjé predicts that the white population would continue to shrink, and, he said, the situation would have a far-reaching impact on the economy.
"The white population is getting older, which means the white taxpayers are only going to contribute to the economy for the next twenty years. There would have to be a huge influx of skilled workers to fill this gap. This, unfortunately, is not the case."
Due to the inequalities of the past, the education of most of the black children is still not on par to fill these gaps.
Last year, for example, only 3 000 black learners passed matric with higher grade mathematics, said Cronjé.
Economically productive
Most of the white emigrants are economically productive people, said Marco Macfarlane, co-author of the report.
However, in the last decade the black economically productive population grew by 81%. Some of these people have slot into the high-income group, where black people make up a third of the top earners.
Whites, however, still account for half of this group, where Indians and coloureds make up 7% and 6% of the high-income group respectively.
The rest of the black entrants to the labour market are busy in the informal sector, which do not necessarily contribute to the tax income.
"Black people are entering the economy at a stiff pace, but of the economically active middle class (the country's biggest tax contributors), blacks only account for 1%."
Macfarlane said crime and affirmative action are the top reasons for the exodus of whites.
More whites going to leave
"And because the crime figures are not going to decline rapidly and affirmative action is to continue, more whites are going to leave.
"The young people reckon they are being punished for what happened in the previous dispensation. They are furious, because they feel they had no part in it," said Macfarlane.
According to the report the emigrants are between 20 and 40 years old.
"This is the group that have children and help grow the population, but now they're getting their children overseas. And they don't come back. That means the white population is going to continue to shrink."
The decline in the white population in the decade to 2005 is estimated at 16.1%.

Des Blancs en marge

Un dixième de la population blanche d'Afrique du sud, principalement chez les Afrikaaner, se trouve sous le seuil de pauvreté. Le reportage suivant est éclairant et n'est pas très différent de ce que l'auteur de ces lignes a vu en 1985 lors d'une visite dans ce pays. Un phénomène comparable existe au Brésil.

































16 commentaires:

Anonyme a dit…

Heya i am for the first time here. I found this board
and I in finding It really helpful & it helped me out much.

I hope to offer one thing back and aid others like you
helped me.

Feel free to visit my web blog :: Louis Vuitton Bags

Anonyme a dit…

Hi there, after reading this amazing piece of writing i am also glad to share my
know-how here with colleagues.

My web page :: More Help

Anonyme a dit…

Hello! This post couldn't be written any better! Reading through this post reminds me of my previous room mate! He always kept talking about this. I will forward this write-up to him. Pretty sure he will have a good read. Thanks for sharing!

Here is my blog post: Louis Vuitton Handbags Outlet

Anonyme a dit…

hello!,I like your writing so much! percentage we keep up a correspondence extra about your article
on AOL? I need a specialist on this house to solve my problem.
May be that is you! Looking ahead to look you.

Check out my website; Cheap Louis Vuitton Bags

Anonyme a dit…

I blog often and I really thank you for your information.

The article has really peaked my interest.
I will take a note of your blog and keep checking for new details
about once per week. I subscribed to your Feed too.


Here is my blog post; Tory Burch Outlet

Anonyme a dit…

Thanks for finally talking about > "Un avenir noir pour l'Afrique du sud" < Loved it!

my homepage Nike Air Max

Anonyme a dit…

I love your blog.. very nice colors & theme. Did you make this
website yourself or did you hire someone to do it for you?
Plz respond as I'm looking to construct my own blog and would like to know where u got this from. many thanks

Here is my blog post; Michael Kors Canada

Anonyme a dit…

Howdy! I could have sworn I've been to this site before but after checking through some of the post I realized it's new to me.
Anyhow, I'm definitely happy I found it and I'll be bookmarking and
checking back often!

Stop by my homepage connectprofessional.co.uk

Anonyme a dit…

Excellent article! We will be linking to this particularly great article on
our website. Keep up the good writing.

my webpage: Learn More

Anonyme a dit…

Its like you read my mind! You appear to know a lot about this, like you wrote the book in it
or something. I think that you could do with a few pics to drive the message home a bit,
but other than that, this is wonderful blog.

An excellent read. I'll definitely be back.

Feel free to surf to my blog post extra resources

Anonyme a dit…

Do you have a spam issue on this site; I also am a blogger,
and I was curious about your situation; we have developed some nice methods and we
are looking to trade methods with others, be sure to shoot me an e-mail
if interested.

my web page ... More hints

Anonyme a dit…

My partner and I stumbled over here from a different web page and thought
I should check things out. I like what I see so now i am following you.
Look forward to looking into your web page yet again.


my site - Recommended Site *inhyanginc.com*

Anonyme a dit…

I am sure this article has touched all the internet viewers, its really really nice article on building up new web site.


Review my website ... Mulberry Outlet

Anonyme a dit…

Hmm is anyone else having problems with the images
on this blog loading? I'm trying to find out if its a problem on my end or if it's the
blog. Any responses would be greatly appreciated.

my blog: Sac Guess Pas Cher

Anonyme a dit…

Hello! This is kind of off topic but I need some
guidance from an established blog. Is it tough to set up your own blog?
I'm not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty fast. I'm thinking
about creating my own but I'm not sure where to start. Do you have any tips or suggestions? With thanks

Check out my webpage Air Max Pas Cher

ovei bardhan a dit…

Hi this nice site. I love this site. I you want to know anything about ‘’Reussir son CV’’ you can visit this site. You are always welcome to this site. If you want to visit this site please click on’’Reussir son CV’’